Political dynamics in Brazil are shifting significantly as President Lula strengthens his position against threats from the U.S.
Surge in Lula's Popularity Amidst Trump's Tariff Threats

Surge in Lula's Popularity Amidst Trump's Tariff Threats
The Brazilian President's approval ratings rise as he positions himself against foreign interference.
In a surprising turn in the Brazilian political landscape, President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva has experienced a notable spike in public approval amid recent threats from U.S. President Donald Trump regarding tariffs on Brazilian exports. This shift appears to position Lula advantageously as he gears up for the upcoming 2026 presidential election.
With the election approaching, Lula’s main competition is a populist figure akin to Trump's own style, reminiscent of political tensions in the United States. Trump's call for a 50 percent tariff on Brazilian goods—aimed at protecting former president Jair Bolsonaro from potential legal repercussions—has indirectly aided Lula by strengthening his narrative against foreign pressure. Lula's response, communicating a resolute stance against Trump's tactics, has resonated favorably with many Brazilians.
Following Trump’s tariff threats, Lula's approval ratings surged to their highest levels in months, with polls indicating that between 43% to 50% of Brazilians support his administration. Political analysts attribute this increase to what they describe as the "anti-Trump bump," a phenomenon that has previously bolstered the popularity of other leaders around the world who stood firm against U.S. policies, including figures in Canada and Australia.
Political scientist Camila Rocha remarked, “This was a stroke of luck for the president,” underscoring the tactical advantage Lula has gained through this unexpected foreign engagement. As he celebrates his 80th birthday shortly before the election, the political momentum could be pivotal in potentially securing him a historic fourth term.
In summary, the escalating feud with Trump is not merely a bilateral trade issue but a significant factor in Brazil's electoral dynamics, illustrating the intricate ties between international relations and domestic political fortunes.