US Foreign Aid Freeze Disrupts Key Famine Prediction System Amidst Global Food Crisis

Fri Feb 21 2025 20:34:00 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)
US Foreign Aid Freeze Disrupts Key Famine Prediction System Amidst Global Food Crisis

The suspension of U.S. foreign assistance, called for by President Trump, has led to the halting of a vital program aimed at predicting famine worldwide.


The U.S. government's recent freeze on foreign assistance has resulted in the shutdown of a crucial system that monitors famine risks globally, which threatens to hinder efforts to combat food insecurity. The Famine Early Warning System Network (Fewsnet), initiated after the catastrophic Ethiopian famine of 1984, has long served as an essential tool for forecasting drought and hunger by analyzing weather patterns and political situations.

Despite Fewsnet's critical role in mitigating food insecurity effects, its operations were completely paused as part of the recent suspension of nearly all U.S. foreign assistance, worth around $70 billion annually. This limit was enacted pending a review to align programs with Trump's "America First" principle. Although exempting emergency food aid and military support to Israel and Egypt, the freeze still left several vital programs questioning their future.

Dave Harden, a former USAID official, highlighted Fewsnet's importance in pre-positioning food supplies effectively during East Africa's food crisis in 2016, contrary to the dire inadequacies seen in the 1984 famine response. The U.S. State Department's actions, combined with Secretary of State Marco Rubio's remarks, emphasize that only life-saving initiatives would be prioritized for exemption. This has led to significant uncertainty in the aid community.

With remedies sought for the growing confusion, former USAID official Jeremy Konyndyk illustrated Fewsnet's unparalleled value in predicting famines, referencing its successful early warnings in Somalia. As global hunger crises loom, the implications of dismantling such a critical tool could resonate deeply throughout humanitarian efforts worldwide, leading to questions about the effectiveness of U.S. foreign aid priorities.

The ongoing freeze appears to have overshadowed the urgent need for famine-tracking systems, leaving populations at risk without timely interventions. The situation underscores the complexities of humanitarian funding and the precarious balance between national policy and global responsibility.

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