Narrow Win for Warsaw's Mayor Sets Stage for Polish Presidential Run-Off

Mon May 19 2025 19:37:52 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
Narrow Win for Warsaw's Mayor Sets Stage for Polish Presidential Run-Off

Liberal candidate Rafal Trzaskowski edges out conservative rival Karol Nawrocki, leading to a crucial second-round election.


Warsaw Mayor Rafal Trzaskowski has achieved a narrow victory in Poland's presidential election, requiring a run-off against conservative historian Karol Nawrocki. With political implications and coalition dynamics at play, the second round will be critical for both candidates.


Warsaw's liberal mayor, Rafal Trzaskowski, has claimed a narrow victory in Poland's recent presidential election, gathering 31.3% of the votes. His conservative rival, Karol Nawrocki, closely followed with 29.5%. Due to neither candidate surpassing the 50% threshold, a second-round election is scheduled for June 1. The official results are anticipated later on Monday, with a turnout reported as exceeding 67%.

Speaking at a rally in Sandomierz, Trzaskowski expressed confidence in his campaign, stating, "We're going to win," emphasizing the hard work required. He outlined his commitment to working alongside Prime Minister Donald Tusk's coalition to liberalize Poland's stringent abortion laws and to reform the judiciary, which faced politicization under the previous government led by the Law and Justice party (PiS).

Despite performing below pre-election projections, Trzaskowski's coalition seeks to overcome past challenges, notably the current president Andrzej Duda’s vetoes against Tusk's initiatives, hampered by coalition rifts on issues like abortion and civil partnerships. A win for Trzaskowski could diminish the presidential veto's impact but Nawrocki may pose an even greater challenge.

Nawrocki fired back at Tusk's coalition, rallying supporters in Gdansk to prevent Tusk's consolidation of power, while also attempting to court voters from far-right candidates, such as Slawomir Mentzen and Grzegorz Braun, who did percentages of 14.8% and 6.3%, respectively.

The methodology to mobilize each candidate's electorate will be crucial in the upcoming second round. While Trzaskowski focuses on centrist voters, he must also attract support from the Left and the conservative Third Way. Concerns arise regarding whether attendees of far-right factions will back either candidate or abstain, reflecting the complex landscape of Polish politics. The situations present opportunities and obstacles, as Trzaskowski and Nawrocki push forward in the race for the presidency.

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