Who Will Lead Gaza After War? Four Governance Models Emerge

Mon Aug 18 2025 09:23:22 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
Who Will Lead Gaza After War? Four Governance Models Emerge

As cease-fire negotiations proceed, various factions outline competing visions for Gaza's future, including Hamas and the Palestinian Authority.


After nearly 16 months of conflict in Gaza, the future governance of the territory remains uncertain. Following a fragile cease-fire and ongoing negotiations between Israel and Hamas to prolong the truce, four distinct governance proposals are taking shape. The current dynamics include Hamas, which, despite being weakened, still controls the majority of Gaza, and the Israeli military that holds strategic locations.

Under the cease-fire terms, Israel is expected to gradually withdraw from Gaza; however, some hardline Israeli leaders advocate for increased military presence, risking a renewed conflict. Meanwhile, a group of foreign security contractors is actively managing a critical checkpoint in northern Gaza, suggesting a potential shift towards broader international oversight, possibly involving regional Arab nations instead of private contractors.

In southern Gaza, recent efforts by representatives of the Palestinian Authority have begun, where they were able to collaboratively manage a border crossing with Egypt alongside European security personnel. The Palestinian Authority, which lost control of Gaza to Hamas in 2007, envisions replicating this arrangement throughout the territory over time as a means to regain governance.

Gaza remains a focal point for complex political dynamics, where potential models for governance must navigate historical grievances, current security concerns, and aspirations for Palestinian statehood. The international community and regional stakeholders will closely watch as these proposals emerge amid existing conflicts and tension.

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