Stocks Tumble as Trump Signals Economic 'Transition'

Wed Mar 12 2025 03:50:40 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)
Stocks Tumble as Trump Signals Economic 'Transition'

US stock markets experience a significant sell-off amidst mounting trade war concerns and ambiguous economic forecasts from President Trump.


On Monday, the US stock market took a sharp downturn, primarily driven by growing anxiety over the implications of the ongoing trade war on the economy. The S&P 500 Index dipped roughly 2% in early trading, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average and Nasdaq experienced declines of 0.9% and over 3.5%, respectively. These stock market fluctuations followed President Trump's evasive responses regarding the potential for a recession and price hikes associated with recent tariff implementations, instead speaking about a "period of transition" for the economy.

Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick attempted to assuage fears by claiming there would not be a contraction, though he did concede that the prices for some goods could rise due to these tariffs, which are essentially taxes on imported goods. Market experts worry that the tariffs, particularly those recently imposed on imports from Mexico and Canada, could spur inflation and ultimately hinder growth in the US economy. Investment manager Rachel Winter pointed out the inevitable inflationary pressures stemming from the current tariff levels.

Economist Mohamed El-Erian noted that market dynamics have shifted significantly, with prior investor optimism around deregulation and tax cuts tempered by the reality of a trade conflict. He connected the recent stock declines to an adjustment in investor expectations, as reluctance to maintain spending becomes evident among businesses and consumers in the wake of trade uncertainties. Notably, shares for companies like Tesla dropped about 8% and tech giants Nvidia and Meta saw declines exceeding 4%.

In a recent interview, Trump acknowledged public concerns but refrained from making definitive predictions, stating, “There is a period of transition... what we’re doing is very big... It takes a little time, but I think it should be great for us." These statements came after Trump implemented new 25% tariffs on imports from Mexico and Canada, yet quickly exempted numerous goods from these tariffs.

Furthermore, new tariffs targeting US agricultural products, particularly in the wake of China's retaliatory measures, are now in effect. Canada’s Premier Doug Ford also announced a 25% surcharge on energy exports to the US, escalating tensions further. Despite these developments, Commerce Secretary Lutnick remained optimistic, stating American goods would become cheaper even as he acknowledged potential price hikes for foreign goods.

Former officials expressed mixed sentiments regarding the future of the trade war, asserting it may not spiral completely out of control but still represents a burden on the US economy. Meanwhile, analysts indicated that China is increasingly refocusing on its domestic economy in response to the standoff, indicating both nations' unwillingness to retreat easily from escalating tensions.

International Business, Trump tariffs, Trade war

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