Tight Tensions in Irish Election as Parties Await Results

Mon Dec 23 2024 00:38:07 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)
Tight Tensions in Irish Election as Parties Await Results

Irish Prime Minister Simon Harris states the election outcomes are too close to call, with exit polls indicating a competitive race among major parties.


As the counting unfolds in Ireland's general election, early projections place Sinn Féin slightly ahead, leaving Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil strategizing their next moves.

The Irish general election has set the stage for an unpredictable political landscape, led by Taoiseach Simon Harris of Fine Gael, who expressed uncertainty regarding the number of seats his party may secure. Harris noted that it is "too close to call," as exit polls implied a nail-biting contest primarily among Sinn Féin, Fianna Fáil, and Fine Gael.

Recent figures show Sinn Féin in a leading position regarding first preference votes, prompting speculation about its potential role in forming a government. Leaders from each party, including Fianna Fáil’s Micheál Martin and Sinn Féin’s Mary Lou McDonald, have already secured their electorates in areas like Wicklow, Cork South Central, and Dublin Central.

A historical shift in the election has expanded the number of Teachtaí Dála (TDs) from 160 in 2020 to a projected 174, with 43 constituencies now contesting for seats. The stakes are high as a majority of 88 TDs is necessary to form a government. With voting turnout having begun, officials across over 40 centers commenced counting ballots at 09:00 local time.

Martin acknowledged the fierce competition in every constituency, while early indications suggested issues for some government ministers hoping to retain their positions. Both Fine Gael and Fianna Fáil have dismissed the idea of coalition with Sinn Féin, leaving McDonald exploring alternatives that could involve a minority government with other left-leaning parties, despite acknowledging the complexity of the situation.

In discussions about a potential referendum on Irish unity, McDonald emphasized the urgency of engaging in constitutional conversations while reiterating her party's garnered mandate.

Meanwhile, intrigue surrounded independent candidate Gerry Hutch, whose anti-establishment campaign resonated with voters, leading to speculation over the impact on Sinn Féin's votes. Hutch, known for a controversial past, was released from custody in Spain and had previously faced scrutiny relating to organized crime investigations.

Counting methods employing proportional representation through single transferable votes mean results could take time to finalize. The intricate process involves various rounds of tallying and transferring ballots based on voters' preferences until all constituency seats are filled.

Despite anticipations, forming a government is unlikely to happen quickly, as seen in the protracted negotiations following the previous election in 2020. Political watchers are gearing up for possible delays as the Dáil is scheduled to reconvene on December 18. However, a new Taoiseach may not be established until 2025, leaving Ireland in suspense over its political future.

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