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European Natural Gas Prices Slide Over 5% Amid Middle East Tensions

European gas prices fell more than 5% on Monday, trading at €98.51/MWh, with key storage levels at 75% and heightened competition from Asian LNG markets.

By Neutral EchoSource: spa.gov.sa2 min read

In brief

European natural gas prices fell sharply on Monday, as reported by the Saudi Press Agency and the French outlet Le Soir, following a decline in oil prices and amid Middle East tensions. The TTF benchmark fell to €98.51 per megawatt hour, while other markets noted a 3% drop to €101. Storage capacities reached 75% of EU capacity. Competition with Asian LNG shipments is tightening, keeping prices high.

On Monday evening, European natural gas prices slipped more than 5%, falling to €98.51 per megawatt hour, according to the Saudi Press Agency and France’s Le Soir. The drop mirrored a broader slide in oil prices but followers of the market noted that levels remain high because of ongoing tensions in the Middle East.

The Saudi outlet cited the Amsterdam Title Transfer Facility (TTF), the European benchmark, as the main index showing the decline. It added that the TTF price, at €98.51, was still more than three times the final February level, and had jumped 44% in October alone.

Le Soir reported that the TTF front‑month contract was down over 5% early on Monday afternoon to €98.51. It highlighted that the markets had been cooling off from 2022 highs, noting a 30% drop relative to the previous year’s peak.

For comparison, a brief reading from investing.com, though not a direct quote, indicated that the Dutch TTF front‑month contract had fallen 3% to trade at €101 per megawatt hour. That source underscored the general retreat of prices from the late‑October downturn, adding that the contract was still high by historical standards.

The Saudi report added a storage‑level context, noting that EU gas storage had reached 75% of capacity by 21 October, after a slowdown in storage activity triggered by supply tensions and high prices. It further mentioned that spot prices in European main trading platforms were near €90 per megawatt hour in mid‑October, showing that the market was still under pressure.

All outlets agreed that competition with Asia over liquefied natural gas (LNG) shipments was intensifying. Saudi‑based researchers pointed out that a tighter global supply balance was tightening the competition for the few available LNG cargoes.

Outside of price narratives, none of the outlets delved into policy responses or forecasts. Instead, they focused on the immediate market movements, leaving the long‑term trajectory of gas prices in question as wholesale traders and consumers weigh the difference between a slight decline and the overall high cost environment.

In short, while the fall of European natural gas prices to €98.51 per megawatt hour reflects a brief cooling and the influence of oil price movements, the market remains in a high‑price zone due largely to regional geopolitical risk and a competitive toll from Asian LNG demand.

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