Turkey Gains Strength Amid Syria’s Turbulent Transition

Mon Dec 23 2024 05:54:20 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)
Turkey Gains Strength Amid Syria’s Turbulent Transition

Turkey's influence rises as Assad's regime falls, reshaping the landscape of Syrian politics and regional power dynamics.


In the wake of President Bashar al-Assad's ousting, Turkey's role in Syria is more prominent than ever, positioning itself as a key player influencing the future of the war-torn nation.

Turkey's ascent to influence follows the dramatic changes in Syria after the rebel forces, supported by Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan, successfully overtook Damascus, leading to Assad’s flight. This political shift is seen as a substantial advantage for Turkey, which has historically backed various anti-government factions throughout the conflict.

Analyst Asli Aydintasbas from the Brookings Institution notes the significant opportunity this presents for Turkey, stating that it could lead to increased economic and political clout in Syria. “Syria may not transition smoothly, and renewed conflicts among factions are possible,” she cautions, “but it is clear that Turkey's influence will continue to expand.”

The burden of influence from Russia, which had supported the Assad regime alongside Iran, appears to be waning as Turkey strengthens its foothold. The future of Russian military bases in Syria, which are critical for their Mediterranean presence, remains uncertain.

Initially cautious in their response to the rebels’ rapid advances in northern Syria, Turkish officials later showed a sense of optimism. Erdogan's eventual comments reflected a confidence about Turkey's strategic positioning amidst the current chaos in Syria.

The changing dynamics in Syria not only highlight Turkey’s growing role but also raise questions about the long-term implications for regional stability and power distribution in the Middle East.

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