Fentanyl: A Diplomatic Tool in U.S.-China Relations Post-Trump Election

Tue Jun 03 2025 12:12:03 GMT+0300 (Eastern European Summer Time)
Fentanyl: A Diplomatic Tool in U.S.-China Relations Post-Trump Election

As President-elect Trump signals new tariffs against China, experts fear it might jeopardize vital cooperation on fentanyl trafficking.


The recent pledge from President-elect Trump to implement tariffs on China due to fentanyl issues threatens to harm ongoing counternarcotics cooperation between the two nations, which had seen promising progress in addressing the opioid crisis.

In a notable move, President-elect Donald J. Trump’s recent threat to impose new tariffs on China highlights a significant issue: the influx of fentanyl into the United States, largely manufactured using chemicals sourced from China. Although there have been hesitant signs of cooperative gestures on this front, geopolitical tensions continue to complicate the landscape.

Previously, the two nations had initiated joint efforts to combat drug trafficking. In September, Chinese authorities took a step forward by broadening the list of precursor chemicals associated with fentanyl production, implementing stricter oversight as a product of renewed discussions. This development followed a meeting between President Biden and Chinese leader Xi Jinping, marking a rare moment of collaboration in an otherwise strained relationship.

Despite this progress, the United States faces a major challenge as much of the fentanyl entering its borders originates from Mexican drug cartels that utilize precursor chemicals from China. Experts agree that while some level of cooperation exists, significant hurdles remain. The ability of Chinese manufacturers to develop new, unregulated precursor chemicals poses a continuing threat. Industry analysts from the Council on Foreign Relations underscore the necessity for enhanced collaboration between U.S. and Chinese law enforcement agencies in order to disrupt drug trafficking networks and financial flows that support this crime.

However, the recent mention of tariffs raises concerns regarding potential repercussions for this fragile cooperation. Specialists like Vanda Felbab-Brown from the Brookings Institution argue that imposing tariffs could undermine the progress made in narcotics collaboration in 2024. “An imposition of tariffs is not going to do anything regarding the flow of fentanyl,” she asserts, emphasizing that it might bring a setback to a crucial partnership that had already been dormant for over two years.

The prospect of escalating trade tensions at a time when cooperative strategies were beginning to take root may create further complications for both nations in addressing the pressing opioid crisis.

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