**Trump's Return: Implications for Global Climate Action**

Mon Jan 13 2025 04:52:20 GMT+0200 (Eastern European Standard Time)
**Trump's Return: Implications for Global Climate Action**

Experts predict a significant setback for climate initiatives with Trump's victory but note potential resistance from renewable energy trends.


The re-election of Donald Trump poses challenges to international climate agreements, but recent trends may offset some adverse impacts.

With Donald Trump's return to the White House, experts emphasize significant immediate challenges for climate action as he is anticipated to undermine international efforts aimed at combating climate change. With global leaders poised to meet for COP29, Trump's administration is viewed as a major hindrance to progress in emission reductions and financial commitments to developing nations. As a declared climate skeptic, Trump has previously labeled green energy advancements a "scam," raising uncertainties about future commitments to renewable energy policies.

The urgency of climate discussions has been heightened by the recent intensity of hurricanes in the US, which many scientists attribute to climate change. Despite this growing awareness, climate remains a secondary focus in political campaigns, with more pressing concerns dominating electoral debates. When Trump last served as president, he chose to withdraw the US from the Paris Agreement, which united nations in a historic commitment to curb greenhouse gas emissions. This time, if he follows through with a swift exit, he may act without having to engage with the treaty or adhere to its rules, marking a significant shift in US climate diplomacy.

Richard Klein of the Stockholm Environment Institute highlights that with the US effectively rendered a “dead duck” at COP negotiations, other nations, particularly China, may hesitate to make commitments without US participation. Additionally, wealthy nations had previously encouraged large developing economies to contribute financially to climate resilience efforts—a conversation that may now falter due to US policy shifts.

As the new administration is expected to intensify fossil fuel exploration and relax environmental regulations, there are concerns about the potential negative impact on renewable energy sectors. Current pressures to expand drilling activities, particularly in Alaska, could derail progress in wind and solar sectors, affecting stock prices and investment confidence. However, the administration may face pushback even from within Republican ranks due to the economic benefits of green energy initiatives in GOP districts, spurred by Biden's Inflation Reduction Act.

Global clean technology investment is expected to maintain momentum, with current capital flows in renewables doubling those in fossil fuels this year. Nonetheless, the rhetoric surrounding Trump’s policies fosters skepticism among climate advocates. Former UN climate chief Christiana Figueres warns that while the election outcome is undeniably negative for climate action, the ongoing transition to a greener economy will endure regardless of the administration's stance.

Collectively, these developments highlight a contradictory landscape where Trump's presidency might slow down formal climate negotiations and US leadership, yet dynamic trends in green technology and public backing for renewable energy could present unexpected resistance to regression in climate action.

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