Understanding the Deadly Monsoon Rains in India: Causes and Consequences

This year, India’s monsoon season has turned calamitous, with many regions experiencing catastrophic flooding and landslides. Over half the country is affected, with some areas like Punjab facing their worst floods since 1988. The Indian Meteorology Department reported that numerous areas received rainfall more than 1,000% above normal in just a single day, indicating the severity of the situation.

Between 28 August and 3 September, rainfall levels in northwest India surged to 180% above average, while southern regions saw 73% above normal. As more heavy rain is predicted, questions arise about how the weather transformed so dramatically.

Changing Monsoon Patterns

Climate change is altering traditional monsoon behavior. Scientists note an increase in atmospheric moisture from both the Indian Ocean and Arabian Sea, caused by rising temperatures. Historically, monsoon rain was distributed evenly throughout the season, but recent patterns show concentrated downpours after prolonged dry spells, particularly in mountainous areas where cloudbursts—sudden, intense rainfalls—can occur.

Westerly Disturbances

In August, northern states experienced incessant rain due to interactions between the monsoon system and westerly disturbances, originating from the Mediterranean. These disturbances bring cold air that, when combined with warm moist air from the monsoon, spark extreme weather. According to meteorologists, this unusual alignment was intensified by global warming, which has made jet streams wavier and shifted weather patterns in unexpected directions.

Unstable Mountain Ecosystems

Rapid environmental changes further complicate the situation. Glacial melting and unstable mountain conditions lead to flooding, even without heavy rain. Factors like the bursting of glacial lakes and precipitation in regions previously known for snowfall contribute to this instability. Rising temperatures are causing glaciers and snowpacks—critical for stabilizing slopes—to melt at alarming rates, resulting in entire snowfields collapsing.

Human Factors and Infrastructure Challenges

Human activities play a crucial role in worsening the effects of natural disasters. Urban development has encroached upon river paths and floodplains, while outdated infrastructure is often unable to handle the magnitude of rainfall seen this year. Additionally, rivers are obstructed by debris and waste, exacerbating the impact of floods.

Experts assert that these challenges must be addressed effectively to mitigate the harm caused by future monsoon seasons. This includes repairing aged drainage systems and implementing sustainable urban planning.

As we confront the reality of climate change, the monsoon season serves as a stark reminder of the evolving nature of our environment and the urgent need for adaptable strategies to manage its effects.