Leadership Dilemma of a Recognized Palestinian State

Earlier this month, a Palestinian diplomat called Husam Zomlot was invited to a discussion at the Chatham House think tank in London.

Belgium had just joined the UK, France, and other countries in promising to recognize Palestinian statehood at the United Nations in New York. Dr. Zomlot emphasized that this moment was pivotal, stating, What you will see in New York might be the actual last attempt at implementing the two-state solution. Let that not fail.

This significant shift comes weeks later as the UK, Canada, and Australia, traditionally strong allies of Israel, have taken steps toward recognition. Sir Keir Starmer articulated this commitment in a video, insisting that peace cannot exist without secure spaces for both Israelis and Palestinians.

However, this recognition introduces complex questions about the nature of Palestine as a state. Despite over 150 countries having acknowledged Palestine before, the recent endorsements signal its rising global influence, according to former Palestinian official Xavier Abu Eid, who claimed, Palestine has never been more powerful worldwide than it is now. The world is mobilized for Palestine.

Yet, confusion looms regarding the true identity of Palestine, as it does not yet fulfill the international legal principles for statehood outlined in the Montevideo Convention. For Palestinians, their envisioned state comprises areas like East Jerusalem, the West Bank, and the Gaza Strip—all regions seized by Israel during the 1967 war. The ongoing Israeli occupation complicates the definition of Palestine and the geographical and political fragmentation hinder any consensus on governance.

In particular, the 2007 conflict between Hamas and Fatah has entrenched a politically divided Palestine, with the Palestinian Authority controlling a fraction of the West Bank, while Hamas governs Gaza. Deborah Gordon, who studies Palestinian political movements, articulates this challenge, stating, Palestinian politics has ossified in the meantime, leaving most Palestinians cynical about their leadership and pessimistic about the chances of any kind of internal reconciliation.

The lack of elections since 2006, with the youngest voters having never cast a ballot, further fuels disillusionment. Lawyer Diana Buttu has voiced these frustrations, expressing, That we haven't had elections in all of this time just boggles the mind. We need a new leadership.

As the Palestinian Authority, under Mahmoud Abbas, approaches a critical juncture in its governance, calls for a new generation of leadership resound. Figures like Marwan Barghouti, who commands public support despite being imprisoned, reflect this desire for transformative political evolution. Polls indicate substantial backing for Barghouti, raising eyebrows as many wonder who will lead the Palestinians moving forward.

As the Israeli government's stance on Palestinian statehood remains staunchly opposed, recent developments, including the approval of new settlement projects, complicate the prospects for a sovereign Palestinian leadership. Such developments draw attention away from reconciliation efforts as Hamas's capacity to govern is increasingly being called into question following the devastating impacts of the conflict in Gaza that began in October 2023.

With the future of the region poised at a crossroad, the prospect of a new Palestinian leadership must address not only the ongoing quest for independence but also the profound need for the ability to govern effectively amidst the current political landscape. For many Palestinians, the priority remains in preventing further loss of life, as the humanitarian crisis remains grave.